Well, it was quite a night. And I was pretty close with my projection, though I got a couple of states wrong. 351-187 was the prediction, looks like the final tally will be 364-174, as Missouri is still un-called, but McCain will probably maintain his current lead.
Once the polls closed, and the networks released their exit polls, it was obvious that Obama had won Virginia, Pennsylvania, Florida and Ohio, although the networks waited a couple hours to call them. So there was little suspense, little nervousness, mostly an emotional ride in the front row, witnessing history. Lot's of tears and reflection.
Reflection of being a young boy in Ormond Beach, Florida, where the blacks lived on one side of town, the whites on the other. Reflection of my realizing that, as i accumulated some black friends, that my families prejudices, and the prejudices of my friends were wrong, and we had to stand up and challenge that sort of nonsense. This was the late 80's, and it was still prevalent.
Finally a recognition that my kids don't know black and white. My kids aren't even feeling the historical implication of this election. Because as my youngest recently told me of a friend "She keeps telling me she's black and I'm white, but we're both brown. I am light brown, and she is dark brown". That's the future, and that's amazing. We made strides in the 60's, but those were legal strides, the divide was still there, I saw it in the 80's and the 90's. But my kids don't see it. So thier generation will be the post-racial generation, and we will finally be past all that in the near future.
I was getting a little disturbed about Obama hunkering down in Chicago since the election ended. But the 60 minutes interview put me at ease. He's not isolating, he's returning to family normalcy before the madness of the white house. Good on him.
I can't believe we did this. Yes we did. i am so proud of our citizens, i am so proud of our country. I wouldn't work for the military if i didn't love my country, because i do. but i have not been particulary proud of my country over the past five years. but i am there now.
God bless america. I am re-energized to work within the government to bring about the change our new Commander in Chief calls for. I can't wait.
Sunday, November 16, 2008
Monday, November 03, 2008
The Math
OK, tomorrow's the day, 11/4/08. The coronation of King Obama, as the despondent haters say.
Let's break it down.
It's not over by a long shot. However, I believe the best McCain can do is 286 electoral votes. Which is enough, for sure, to win. But let's break it down beyond that to get to some realism.
Colorado, New Hampshire and New Mexico. These are all polling well over 50 percent for Obama, and Colorado had early voting which puts it out of reach for McCain. I have not included these states in McCain's potential column, simply because I do not believe he has a chance in any of them. So, let's break it down from there with the states that make up McCain's 286.
Pennsylvania: Gore and Kerry both took it, but they both were white. Pennsylvania was trouble for Obama in the primary, and don't under-estimate the potential for McCain to use fear to spook these folks into aligning behind him. McCain HAS to win PA to win the election, and it is possible. There is no early voting there, rural areas have easier time voting than crowded urban areas, give McCain a 30% chance of taking this state.
Virginia: McCain can lose Virginia and still win. See above and all the states listed below. However, Virginia elected Doug Wilder governor when it was still reliably red nationally. With Mark Warner steamrolling to a 30 point win in the senate, Northern Virginia energized and crazy for Obama, Hampton Roads tracking ahead for Obama, McCain is in big trouble here. Give McCain less of chance in Va. than in PA. 20%.
North Carolina: Black early voting has been incredible in this state, and will be the difference in allowing Kay Hagan to unseat Liddy Dole in the Senate. However, Kay Hagan is white, Obama is black, and that's Obama's problem here. If NC falls, Obama's heading for a landslide, otherwise, McCain retains this state, but his chances of doing so are only 55%.
Ohio: Another state that would be blue this year if the candidate wasn't Obama. Unfortunately, the last minute revelation about the coal industry comments might be additional fuel to inspire anti-Obama turnout. Hillary kicked his ass here, McCain will be hard pressed to win, but I give him a 55% chance.
Nevada: Red state normally, it's all about Reno and the surrounding area. Early voting favors Obama, not really a McCain priority, but he can win if everything starts breaking his way at the end. 40% chance of taking Nevada.
Missouri: Mizzou always picks the winner. Obama needs big margins in the cities, needs to have organization turn out in the middle. Polls have McCain moving the polls, he could take this state and lose the election, which will be a first in a while. Missouri is actually going to have to be listed as 50%.
Indiana: Reliably red, Obama might have wasted money here. Mitch Daniels is a popular Republican governor and will win easily. Gary and Indianapolis turnout and margins have to be insane for Obama to pull this one off, and again, he lost the state to Hillary, so he starts from a position of weakness. McCain has a 65% chance in this state.
Florida: More red for Bush v. Kerry than Bush v. Gore. No big statewide elections, huge early voting gives Obama an edge, McCain will have the edge on election day. It might not be enough, but he still has a 50% chance here.
Montana and North Dakota: If these fall for Obama, then watch out for Arkansas, Louisiana, Arizona, Georgia to be in play as well. Landslide Territory. McCain 80%.
My take: I don't believe the polls that give Obama a double digit national lead. However, I do think he's going to win by 4 or 5 in the popular vote. And I think that hands him a rather sizable victory. And all the swing states, except Ohio, Indiana and Missouri, and I predict upsets in Georgia and Montana for Obama. He said he wanted to re-draw the map, and he will.
Final tally: Obama 351 McCain 187
Click on "The Math" to see my final predicted tally.
Let's break it down.
It's not over by a long shot. However, I believe the best McCain can do is 286 electoral votes. Which is enough, for sure, to win. But let's break it down beyond that to get to some realism.
Colorado, New Hampshire and New Mexico. These are all polling well over 50 percent for Obama, and Colorado had early voting which puts it out of reach for McCain. I have not included these states in McCain's potential column, simply because I do not believe he has a chance in any of them. So, let's break it down from there with the states that make up McCain's 286.
Pennsylvania: Gore and Kerry both took it, but they both were white. Pennsylvania was trouble for Obama in the primary, and don't under-estimate the potential for McCain to use fear to spook these folks into aligning behind him. McCain HAS to win PA to win the election, and it is possible. There is no early voting there, rural areas have easier time voting than crowded urban areas, give McCain a 30% chance of taking this state.
Virginia: McCain can lose Virginia and still win. See above and all the states listed below. However, Virginia elected Doug Wilder governor when it was still reliably red nationally. With Mark Warner steamrolling to a 30 point win in the senate, Northern Virginia energized and crazy for Obama, Hampton Roads tracking ahead for Obama, McCain is in big trouble here. Give McCain less of chance in Va. than in PA. 20%.
North Carolina: Black early voting has been incredible in this state, and will be the difference in allowing Kay Hagan to unseat Liddy Dole in the Senate. However, Kay Hagan is white, Obama is black, and that's Obama's problem here. If NC falls, Obama's heading for a landslide, otherwise, McCain retains this state, but his chances of doing so are only 55%.
Ohio: Another state that would be blue this year if the candidate wasn't Obama. Unfortunately, the last minute revelation about the coal industry comments might be additional fuel to inspire anti-Obama turnout. Hillary kicked his ass here, McCain will be hard pressed to win, but I give him a 55% chance.
Nevada: Red state normally, it's all about Reno and the surrounding area. Early voting favors Obama, not really a McCain priority, but he can win if everything starts breaking his way at the end. 40% chance of taking Nevada.
Missouri: Mizzou always picks the winner. Obama needs big margins in the cities, needs to have organization turn out in the middle. Polls have McCain moving the polls, he could take this state and lose the election, which will be a first in a while. Missouri is actually going to have to be listed as 50%.
Indiana: Reliably red, Obama might have wasted money here. Mitch Daniels is a popular Republican governor and will win easily. Gary and Indianapolis turnout and margins have to be insane for Obama to pull this one off, and again, he lost the state to Hillary, so he starts from a position of weakness. McCain has a 65% chance in this state.
Florida: More red for Bush v. Kerry than Bush v. Gore. No big statewide elections, huge early voting gives Obama an edge, McCain will have the edge on election day. It might not be enough, but he still has a 50% chance here.
Montana and North Dakota: If these fall for Obama, then watch out for Arkansas, Louisiana, Arizona, Georgia to be in play as well. Landslide Territory. McCain 80%.
My take: I don't believe the polls that give Obama a double digit national lead. However, I do think he's going to win by 4 or 5 in the popular vote. And I think that hands him a rather sizable victory. And all the swing states, except Ohio, Indiana and Missouri, and I predict upsets in Georgia and Montana for Obama. He said he wanted to re-draw the map, and he will.
Final tally: Obama 351 McCain 187
Click on "The Math" to see my final predicted tally.
Saturday, October 25, 2008
My Grandma
My grandmother was born in Kansas. She was raised in South Dakota. She was a military wife. She has always been a staunch conservative.
She loved Ronald Reagan. She loves the works of William. F. Buckley, George Will, and all the conservative minds of this era.
She just turned 86. For the past 20 years, we have agreed to disagree on politics, because she has always been much farther to the right than I.
Grandma was hospitalized this week with a kidney infection. She had my dad get her an absentee ballot, because she was going to be out of action for a while.
She voted for Barack Obama.
I am completely floored by this news. I recently saw my grandmother in August before the conventions, and purposely avoided the discussion of Presidential politics, because I knew that would do nothing except create un-necessary tension.
I am guilty of underestimating my grandmother. And I am also guilty of underestimating the sensibility of my country.
Her major issue is Sarah Palin. She is obviously dissatisfied with Bush, but she hasn't heard anything out of either candidate that excites her. So, her vote basically came down to Joe Biden vs. Sarah Palin. And she is scared of Palin.
This is one of those "WOW' moments for me where i missed an opportunity to engage my grandmother in discussion about this. Luckily, she is on a road to recovery, so I will be able to talk to her about her vote, and talk to her about how important and proud that vote makes me.
I know nobody reads this, but I had to write it, because I am floored by this, and want to remember the moment forever. I love you Grandma.
She loved Ronald Reagan. She loves the works of William. F. Buckley, George Will, and all the conservative minds of this era.
She just turned 86. For the past 20 years, we have agreed to disagree on politics, because she has always been much farther to the right than I.
Grandma was hospitalized this week with a kidney infection. She had my dad get her an absentee ballot, because she was going to be out of action for a while.
She voted for Barack Obama.
I am completely floored by this news. I recently saw my grandmother in August before the conventions, and purposely avoided the discussion of Presidential politics, because I knew that would do nothing except create un-necessary tension.
I am guilty of underestimating my grandmother. And I am also guilty of underestimating the sensibility of my country.
Her major issue is Sarah Palin. She is obviously dissatisfied with Bush, but she hasn't heard anything out of either candidate that excites her. So, her vote basically came down to Joe Biden vs. Sarah Palin. And she is scared of Palin.
This is one of those "WOW' moments for me where i missed an opportunity to engage my grandmother in discussion about this. Luckily, she is on a road to recovery, so I will be able to talk to her about her vote, and talk to her about how important and proud that vote makes me.
I know nobody reads this, but I had to write it, because I am floored by this, and want to remember the moment forever. I love you Grandma.
Saturday, October 18, 2008
It always amazes me
It always amazes me how when we get to late October, there is such hatred, paranoia and filth in the air.
I thought it would be different this year, with both nominees being outside of the party power - both eclipsed significant odds to win their party's nomination. Although McCain kissed Bush's butt for 6 years instead of busting his balls, the Republican establishment abandoned him for Mitt Romney. And he fought back and won, because he was not only a great American hero, but the only Republican that would take serious steps to reverse the horrible trajectory we have been on for the last 8 years. Unfortunately for his campaign, he did kiss Bush's ass for 6 years instead of shoving a stick up it, but Chuck Hagel did that, and he was not even a viable option to run for President, so basically, McCain did what he had to do to win the nomination. And America is fortunate that he did.
So also, is America fortunate that Obama won the Democratic nomination. 2008 was supposed to be the Hillary coronation. Bring Back Bill! And seriously, right now, if she were the nominee, she would be ahead by 20 points, even over McCain, because the country is in such a bad place. But would a HRC presidency been a better thing for America than either a McCain or an Obama presidency? I don't think so. I think I would rank her third.
Both Obama and McCain will bring change. Clinton would have brought back Bill's administration. Older, wiser, richer, but the same team, the same tired ideas.
I hope with all my heart that Obama wins, because I think in these times we need an inspirational leader that will not only motivate us with his words, but also move the world with his vision.
But I also know, deep in my heart, that John McCain is a man who first and foremost puts his country first, and does the right thing, regardless of politics. And he would be a breath of fresh air as a President, and would break the mold as a Republican president, I hate to tell you conservatives.
I haven't heard too many of the pundits say "We can't lose" in this election, which shocks me. Because we really can't. The first 100 days, and the major priorities of each will not be that different. Politics requires that they project giant differences, but reality is that both will operate 180 degrees from the disgraceful and discredited characters that currently occupy the Oval and surrounding offices.
Those of you that are out here arguing and baiting and bashing each other, from both sides, you are the problem. You are the idiots that the senseless soundbite and reckless rumor excites. You run with it and yell. You don't think or reflect, you just spew and spout. You are as reckless and thoughtless as Olbermann and Hannity.
I believe that most of us are comfortable with Nov. 4th. I believe that most of us are not scared of the result. While we really hope our candidate wins, if he doesn't, we are silently comforted by the fact that our ship will be finally be steered by a top notch captain, after 8 years of drifting being piloted by a drunken sailor.
So keep screaming, keep yelling. The only folks arguing with you seem to be insane, intolerant, immovable jackasses who's mind you will never change, no matter how loud or inflamed you get, and you get plenty loud and inflamed. You feel that you must be arguing with idiots, and in reality, you are. But look in the mirror - left is right, right is left, and you are the same idiot.
I thought it would be different this year, with both nominees being outside of the party power - both eclipsed significant odds to win their party's nomination. Although McCain kissed Bush's butt for 6 years instead of busting his balls, the Republican establishment abandoned him for Mitt Romney. And he fought back and won, because he was not only a great American hero, but the only Republican that would take serious steps to reverse the horrible trajectory we have been on for the last 8 years. Unfortunately for his campaign, he did kiss Bush's ass for 6 years instead of shoving a stick up it, but Chuck Hagel did that, and he was not even a viable option to run for President, so basically, McCain did what he had to do to win the nomination. And America is fortunate that he did.
So also, is America fortunate that Obama won the Democratic nomination. 2008 was supposed to be the Hillary coronation. Bring Back Bill! And seriously, right now, if she were the nominee, she would be ahead by 20 points, even over McCain, because the country is in such a bad place. But would a HRC presidency been a better thing for America than either a McCain or an Obama presidency? I don't think so. I think I would rank her third.
Both Obama and McCain will bring change. Clinton would have brought back Bill's administration. Older, wiser, richer, but the same team, the same tired ideas.
I hope with all my heart that Obama wins, because I think in these times we need an inspirational leader that will not only motivate us with his words, but also move the world with his vision.
But I also know, deep in my heart, that John McCain is a man who first and foremost puts his country first, and does the right thing, regardless of politics. And he would be a breath of fresh air as a President, and would break the mold as a Republican president, I hate to tell you conservatives.
I haven't heard too many of the pundits say "We can't lose" in this election, which shocks me. Because we really can't. The first 100 days, and the major priorities of each will not be that different. Politics requires that they project giant differences, but reality is that both will operate 180 degrees from the disgraceful and discredited characters that currently occupy the Oval and surrounding offices.
Those of you that are out here arguing and baiting and bashing each other, from both sides, you are the problem. You are the idiots that the senseless soundbite and reckless rumor excites. You run with it and yell. You don't think or reflect, you just spew and spout. You are as reckless and thoughtless as Olbermann and Hannity.
I believe that most of us are comfortable with Nov. 4th. I believe that most of us are not scared of the result. While we really hope our candidate wins, if he doesn't, we are silently comforted by the fact that our ship will be finally be steered by a top notch captain, after 8 years of drifting being piloted by a drunken sailor.
So keep screaming, keep yelling. The only folks arguing with you seem to be insane, intolerant, immovable jackasses who's mind you will never change, no matter how loud or inflamed you get, and you get plenty loud and inflamed. You feel that you must be arguing with idiots, and in reality, you are. But look in the mirror - left is right, right is left, and you are the same idiot.
Saturday, October 04, 2008
Here We Go
A month left to go, and John McCain is hopelessly behind, so he is willing to sell his soul to the devil to swiftboat Obama. Only he won't do it himself, his barracuda-in-chief will lead the charge.
Palling around with terrorists? That was her actual quote. Obama doesn't look at America like you or me, and he's palling around with terrorists. Give me a break.
John McCain is sleeping with a person who stole drugs from children to feed her own drug addiction. Should we say McCain is sleeping around with junkies?
Sarah Palin is in a bad situation. She is a great governor for Alaska, and John McCain should have just left her alone. Instead, he has not only ruined her progress in Alaska, he has also put our nation at risk, because if he croaks, and she assumes the Presidency, good golly we'll be in quite a pickle won't we.
But of course, the fear is that the absurd attacks work, and I guess we'll know in a week. Obama needs to call attention to them as shameful, desperate attacks at the debate on tuesday night, and then he must also portray McCain as a hypocrite for denouncing that sort of politics, until he reached for it in desparation to save his floundering campaign.
But mark my words, this is the Willie Horton moment, the excuse to not vote for the black guy, and McCain is going to cynically exploit it all the way to the White House.
So Help Us God.
Palling around with terrorists? That was her actual quote. Obama doesn't look at America like you or me, and he's palling around with terrorists. Give me a break.
John McCain is sleeping with a person who stole drugs from children to feed her own drug addiction. Should we say McCain is sleeping around with junkies?
Sarah Palin is in a bad situation. She is a great governor for Alaska, and John McCain should have just left her alone. Instead, he has not only ruined her progress in Alaska, he has also put our nation at risk, because if he croaks, and she assumes the Presidency, good golly we'll be in quite a pickle won't we.
But of course, the fear is that the absurd attacks work, and I guess we'll know in a week. Obama needs to call attention to them as shameful, desperate attacks at the debate on tuesday night, and then he must also portray McCain as a hypocrite for denouncing that sort of politics, until he reached for it in desparation to save his floundering campaign.
But mark my words, this is the Willie Horton moment, the excuse to not vote for the black guy, and McCain is going to cynically exploit it all the way to the White House.
So Help Us God.
Saturday, May 17, 2008
The Pussy Factor
OK, so our child President made some comments at the Israeli Knesset that talked about some people would be willing to appease evildoers, and indirectly linked it to WWII and Hitler. Obama's staff has gone mad, and he's responded forcefully. He needs to be careful here. Nobody likes a crybaby. Children that are crybabies are called crybabies. Women that are crybabies are called drama queens. Men who are crybabies are called pussies. And a pussy has never been elected President. OK, maybe one, we'll get to that, but it was because he beat a bigger pussy. McCain is a war hero, so Obama cannot win the pussy battle, he MUST duel him to a draw on the pussy issue to win.
OK. let's start the analysis.
2004 -- George W. Bush vs. John Kerry
No contest, Kerry was the big pussy here. His windsurfing deal, his throwing away his war medals, definitely defeated Bush's never serve but go to war pussiness. It was close, but Kerry was a clear pussy, Bush is only a pussy upon deep investigation.
2000 - George W. Bush vs. Al Gore
As Bill Clinton's vice-president, Gore was by definition already a pussy. He needed to define George Bush as more of a pussy. And he definitely could have, but he blew it. Bush could have been exploited as a pussy big time - his luck of wealth because of daddy, his ownership of a baseball team that he fucked up as his major accomplishment, his shoddy reserve record to name a few. But Gore had so much pussiness to overcome. He was Clinton's bitch for 8 years. That made him a MAJOR pussy. But the best thing he could have done was to have Clinton come out and say "this dude hasn't been a pussy", because Clinton was NOT a pussy. Instead, Gore decided that he wanted to win on his own merits, he distanced himself from Clinton, talked about environment and shit, which solidified his standing as a pussy. Thus, Bush won, even though he was a pussy, but Gore was a bigger one.
1996 - Bill Clinton vs. Bob Dole
While Bill Clinton could have probably been defined as a pussy in his early years, what with marrying Hillary (a right wing republican, when he was the man from Hope) and all, by the time this election had occured, most of America was already familiar with his rather impressive list of sexual conquests. A dude who fucks around that has a wife that knows about it is immune from pussiness. Bob Dole was immediately a pussy because he had a wife that a) was more accomplished than him and b) that he couldn't fuck because he didn't know about viagra yet.
1992 - Bill Clinton vs. George Bush
Bush was a pussy from the beginning. Everyone knew he was a pussy in 1988, but Dukakis was such a gigantic, historical pussy, Bush won anyway. Clinton would have had to be caught sucking dick or crying over running over a kitten to lose this election. Special note on 92 and 96, Ross Perot was not a pussy, but he was a crazy, living caricature, which doomed his chances.
1988 - George Bush vs. Michael Dukakis
From the eyebrows to the tank video to the wife eating pills and drinking cleaning solution, has a bigger pussy ever received the nomination of a major party for president than Michael Dukakis? Even the Willy Horton attack, which was shameful, came across as just another thing that this liberal pussbag was complaining about.
1984 - Ronald Reagan vs. Walter Mondale
Reagan was already solid as a non-pussy. Mondale raised his pussy factor with the nomination of an inexperienced broad congresswoman from an exceptionally liberal district in new york as his running mate. Plus, he was Carter's VP, which earned him major pussy points.
1980 - Ronald Reagan vs. Jimmy Carter
Reagan eliminated the pussy factor with his "I paid for this microphone" rant in the NH debate. Iran hostages held forever, Carter doing nothing, biggest pussy factor as a president, ever. Not withstanding his work with isreal and egypt - that was great, but he was a huge pussy that had no chance to beat the cowboy movie star.
1976 - Jimmy Carter vs. Gerald Ford
Carter's pussiness had not yet been exposed. In fact, during the Democratic primary battle, he was a ruthless prick. Ford had pardoned Nixon, so most people just assumed he was a pussy. But a linebacker from Michigan is not a pussy. An example of when the pussy factor didn't work historically.
1972 - Nixon vs. McGovern
Only outflanked by Dukakis on pussiness, McGovern sealed his fate with the Eagleton debacle. To be clear, Nixon was a corrupt calculating douchebag, but not a pussy.
1968 - Nixon vs. Humphrey
Hubert Humphrey as a name immediately labels you as a pussy. Even though Nixon was a pussy because of his crybaby Checkers speech, Humprey was a bigger pussy for sitting on the sidelines and never addressing the riots in chicago at the convention. The war was a big deal, the discontent with it's progress was a big deal, and humphrey was a pussy not to address it.
1964 - Goldwater vs. Johnson
No pussies here. Johnson won because Goldwater was 25 years before his time. But neither candidate could be labelled a pussy. Goldwater was just perceived as being insane.
1960 - Nixon vs. Kennedy
Before he figured out how to be corrupt and sneaky, Nixon was a gigantic pussy. Eisenhower marginalized him as a VP, and Kennedy was a war hero. Televised debates exposed Nixon as a sweaty pussy even.
1956 - Eisenhower vs. Stevenson
Stevenson's pussiness didn't matter. Eisenhower was a decorated WWII commander, so there was no pussiness involved. Automatic win
1952 - Eisenhower vs. Stevenson
Ditto 1956
1948 - Dewey vs. Truman
Truman was with FDR and really didn't care if he lost. Excellent. Dewey had already been nominated and lost to FDR, so even if he wasn't a pussy, he could be construed as such.
That's as far back as I will go back.
The point is that Obama will easily be labeled the pussy, McCain will never be labeled as such. We, as democrats, need to acknowledge the pussy factor, and start to work against it. It can be overcome, but not easily, and we have to start early to win.
OK. let's start the analysis.
2004 -- George W. Bush vs. John Kerry
No contest, Kerry was the big pussy here. His windsurfing deal, his throwing away his war medals, definitely defeated Bush's never serve but go to war pussiness. It was close, but Kerry was a clear pussy, Bush is only a pussy upon deep investigation.
2000 - George W. Bush vs. Al Gore
As Bill Clinton's vice-president, Gore was by definition already a pussy. He needed to define George Bush as more of a pussy. And he definitely could have, but he blew it. Bush could have been exploited as a pussy big time - his luck of wealth because of daddy, his ownership of a baseball team that he fucked up as his major accomplishment, his shoddy reserve record to name a few. But Gore had so much pussiness to overcome. He was Clinton's bitch for 8 years. That made him a MAJOR pussy. But the best thing he could have done was to have Clinton come out and say "this dude hasn't been a pussy", because Clinton was NOT a pussy. Instead, Gore decided that he wanted to win on his own merits, he distanced himself from Clinton, talked about environment and shit, which solidified his standing as a pussy. Thus, Bush won, even though he was a pussy, but Gore was a bigger one.
1996 - Bill Clinton vs. Bob Dole
While Bill Clinton could have probably been defined as a pussy in his early years, what with marrying Hillary (a right wing republican, when he was the man from Hope) and all, by the time this election had occured, most of America was already familiar with his rather impressive list of sexual conquests. A dude who fucks around that has a wife that knows about it is immune from pussiness. Bob Dole was immediately a pussy because he had a wife that a) was more accomplished than him and b) that he couldn't fuck because he didn't know about viagra yet.
1992 - Bill Clinton vs. George Bush
Bush was a pussy from the beginning. Everyone knew he was a pussy in 1988, but Dukakis was such a gigantic, historical pussy, Bush won anyway. Clinton would have had to be caught sucking dick or crying over running over a kitten to lose this election. Special note on 92 and 96, Ross Perot was not a pussy, but he was a crazy, living caricature, which doomed his chances.
1988 - George Bush vs. Michael Dukakis
From the eyebrows to the tank video to the wife eating pills and drinking cleaning solution, has a bigger pussy ever received the nomination of a major party for president than Michael Dukakis? Even the Willy Horton attack, which was shameful, came across as just another thing that this liberal pussbag was complaining about.
1984 - Ronald Reagan vs. Walter Mondale
Reagan was already solid as a non-pussy. Mondale raised his pussy factor with the nomination of an inexperienced broad congresswoman from an exceptionally liberal district in new york as his running mate. Plus, he was Carter's VP, which earned him major pussy points.
1980 - Ronald Reagan vs. Jimmy Carter
Reagan eliminated the pussy factor with his "I paid for this microphone" rant in the NH debate. Iran hostages held forever, Carter doing nothing, biggest pussy factor as a president, ever. Not withstanding his work with isreal and egypt - that was great, but he was a huge pussy that had no chance to beat the cowboy movie star.
1976 - Jimmy Carter vs. Gerald Ford
Carter's pussiness had not yet been exposed. In fact, during the Democratic primary battle, he was a ruthless prick. Ford had pardoned Nixon, so most people just assumed he was a pussy. But a linebacker from Michigan is not a pussy. An example of when the pussy factor didn't work historically.
1972 - Nixon vs. McGovern
Only outflanked by Dukakis on pussiness, McGovern sealed his fate with the Eagleton debacle. To be clear, Nixon was a corrupt calculating douchebag, but not a pussy.
1968 - Nixon vs. Humphrey
Hubert Humphrey as a name immediately labels you as a pussy. Even though Nixon was a pussy because of his crybaby Checkers speech, Humprey was a bigger pussy for sitting on the sidelines and never addressing the riots in chicago at the convention. The war was a big deal, the discontent with it's progress was a big deal, and humphrey was a pussy not to address it.
1964 - Goldwater vs. Johnson
No pussies here. Johnson won because Goldwater was 25 years before his time. But neither candidate could be labelled a pussy. Goldwater was just perceived as being insane.
1960 - Nixon vs. Kennedy
Before he figured out how to be corrupt and sneaky, Nixon was a gigantic pussy. Eisenhower marginalized him as a VP, and Kennedy was a war hero. Televised debates exposed Nixon as a sweaty pussy even.
1956 - Eisenhower vs. Stevenson
Stevenson's pussiness didn't matter. Eisenhower was a decorated WWII commander, so there was no pussiness involved. Automatic win
1952 - Eisenhower vs. Stevenson
Ditto 1956
1948 - Dewey vs. Truman
Truman was with FDR and really didn't care if he lost. Excellent. Dewey had already been nominated and lost to FDR, so even if he wasn't a pussy, he could be construed as such.
That's as far back as I will go back.
The point is that Obama will easily be labeled the pussy, McCain will never be labeled as such. We, as democrats, need to acknowledge the pussy factor, and start to work against it. It can be overcome, but not easily, and we have to start early to win.
Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Hope
"If one candidate’s trying to scare you and the other one’s trying to get you to think, if one candidate’s appealing to your fears and the other one’s appealing to your hopes, you better vote for the person who wants you to think and hope." Bill Clinton
“The divide of race has been America's constant curse. Each new wave of immigrants gives new targets to old prejudices. Prejudice and contempt, cloaked in the pretense of religious or political conviction, are no different. They have nearly destroyed us in the past. They plague us still. They fuel the fanaticism of terror. They torment the lives of millions in fractured nations around the world. These obsessions cripple both those who are hated and, of course, those who hate, robbing both of what they might become.” Bill Clinton
“I have a much broader base to build a winning coalition on. [An AP article] found how Senator Obama’s support among working, hard-working Americans, white Americans, is weakening again, and how whites in both states who had not completed college were supporting me. There’s a pattern emerging here" Hillary Clinton
"Hang that darky from a tree!" Pennsylvania primary voter, presumably a white person without a college education.
So, it's come to this. Hillary is touting her overwhelming victory in West Virginia as the evidence that she should be the nominee of the Democratic party. Obama has to appeal to rural America, or we'll have cranky John as President.
What's the point? There is no point, I'm too tired to be clever. Just wake up, white people, don't screw this deal up because the dude is black. That's biting off the nose to spite the face. We have to rock in November. You have to get over the black dude thing, for Christ's sake.
“The divide of race has been America's constant curse. Each new wave of immigrants gives new targets to old prejudices. Prejudice and contempt, cloaked in the pretense of religious or political conviction, are no different. They have nearly destroyed us in the past. They plague us still. They fuel the fanaticism of terror. They torment the lives of millions in fractured nations around the world. These obsessions cripple both those who are hated and, of course, those who hate, robbing both of what they might become.” Bill Clinton
“I have a much broader base to build a winning coalition on. [An AP article] found how Senator Obama’s support among working, hard-working Americans, white Americans, is weakening again, and how whites in both states who had not completed college were supporting me. There’s a pattern emerging here" Hillary Clinton
"Hang that darky from a tree!" Pennsylvania primary voter, presumably a white person without a college education.
So, it's come to this. Hillary is touting her overwhelming victory in West Virginia as the evidence that she should be the nominee of the Democratic party. Obama has to appeal to rural America, or we'll have cranky John as President.
What's the point? There is no point, I'm too tired to be clever. Just wake up, white people, don't screw this deal up because the dude is black. That's biting off the nose to spite the face. We have to rock in November. You have to get over the black dude thing, for Christ's sake.
Monday, May 12, 2008
Stop It
I love Obama. I will be unapologetic about it. I believe he is a visionary and inspirational leader that can take our country down roads they would be un-willing to go.
Having said that, I also know Hillary Clinton is an excellent Senator, she has been at the forefront of many important issues, particularly drug safety.
So I am having a hard time with her current campaign, which is Sherman-like in it's intensity and resolve.
I thought she had become a "great" Senator, in fact, a much better Senator than Obama. But her ambition to be President scares me, because she is not only changing her tune and focus, she's also changing the landscape of the Democratic party. The Democrats used to be about all races, all people, all incomes, all situations. Now, apparently, there is a white faction to the Democratic Party that will not support an African-American nominee.
Bill Clinton, in his best moment, would shame these people into submission. In his worst moment, as a shill for his wife, he will foment this division and do whatever he can to elect John McCain as our next President, so his wife can take him down in 2012.
I have few problems with McCain, other than his stubborn Iraq policy. I am glad conservatives have to eat their own puke with that guy. But I certainly believe that an Obama Presidency will take us so far further down the road we need to take. Clinton's obstinence is almost striking me as unpatriotic, and, in the end, could make me hate her.
I don't hate her yet, the end game hasn't happened yet. But keep the shit up, sister, and i will never support you for anything as long as you live.
Having said that, I also know Hillary Clinton is an excellent Senator, she has been at the forefront of many important issues, particularly drug safety.
So I am having a hard time with her current campaign, which is Sherman-like in it's intensity and resolve.
I thought she had become a "great" Senator, in fact, a much better Senator than Obama. But her ambition to be President scares me, because she is not only changing her tune and focus, she's also changing the landscape of the Democratic party. The Democrats used to be about all races, all people, all incomes, all situations. Now, apparently, there is a white faction to the Democratic Party that will not support an African-American nominee.
Bill Clinton, in his best moment, would shame these people into submission. In his worst moment, as a shill for his wife, he will foment this division and do whatever he can to elect John McCain as our next President, so his wife can take him down in 2012.
I have few problems with McCain, other than his stubborn Iraq policy. I am glad conservatives have to eat their own puke with that guy. But I certainly believe that an Obama Presidency will take us so far further down the road we need to take. Clinton's obstinence is almost striking me as unpatriotic, and, in the end, could make me hate her.
I don't hate her yet, the end game hasn't happened yet. But keep the shit up, sister, and i will never support you for anything as long as you live.
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